Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.191170 0.220225 0.253468 0.294596 0.344488 0.403541 0.479450
2025-05-18 0.147243 0.184508 0.232048 0.298337 0.390330 0.516540 0.708405
2025-05-25 0.120743 0.160639 0.215729 0.299844 0.429752 0.631454 0.987631
2025-06-01 0.102403 0.142536 0.201417 0.298027 0.460941 0.742261 1.311493
2025-06-08 0.088545 0.127709 0.188021 0.292979 0.483611 0.844958 1.674041
2025-06-15 0.080645 0.120232 0.184040 0.301567 0.531322 1.010578 2.270115
2025-06-22 0.071858 0.109867 0.173314 0.295497 0.548900 1.121233 2.814566
2025-06-29 0.066078 0.103537 0.168252 0.298538 0.585558 1.290409 3.667248
2025-07-06 0.060327 0.096453 0.160675 0.294905 0.606406 1.430369 4.568976
2025-07-13 0.056645 0.092492 0.158157 0.301000 0.651793 1.660225 6.094842
2025-07-20 0.053567 0.089216 0.156403 0.308295 0.702664 1.936293 8.266089
2025-07-27 0.050763 0.086103 0.154487 0.314787 0.753845 2.247149 11.259215
2025-08-03 0.048332 0.083494 0.153372 0.323373 0.815787 2.649082 15.991679
2025-08-10 0.045675 0.080173 0.150355 0.326828 0.864602 3.043878 22.190915
2025-08-17 0.043137 0.076822 0.146827 0.328310 0.908394 3.460655 30.747095
2025-08-24 0.040598 0.073217 0.142281 0.326215 0.939905 3.853524 41.716022
2025-08-31 0.038073 0.069402 0.136804 0.320545 0.957109 4.193926 54.990931
2025-09-07 0.036774 0.068020 0.136727 0.330162 1.036751 5.005624 88.980950
2025-09-14 0.034592 0.064567 0.131383 0.323359 1.048828 5.400792 119.734462
2025-09-21 0.033183 0.062659 0.129524 0.326766 1.106135 6.216354 191.374646
2025-09-28 0.031487 0.059981 0.125491 0.322696 1.129588 6.813267 281.363004
2025-10-05 0.030477 0.058742 0.124890 0.329525 1.207666 8.050454 531.221436
2025-10-12 0.029594 0.057708 0.124688 0.337703 1.297804 9.633755 1151.234408